[Außenpolitik] Transatlantiker dienen Trump - Keine Schuldenbremse für Aufrüstung
After the federal election on February 23, 2025 no new federal government has yet been formed but the first negotiations on changes to the law are already happening. What is significant in this case is which election promises one wants to get rid of and how. The CDU campaigned on adhering to the debt brake. [1] [2] [3] And currently the CDU/CSU, SPD and Greens still have a two-thirds majority to change or circumvent the Basic Law and thus also the debt brake. Due to the election result the CDU/CSU, SPD and Greens would no longer have a two-thirds majority once the new Bundestag is formed. If the debt brake is to be changed or circumvented for example with a new special fund then this would have to happen immediately. Otherwise the CDU/CSU, SPD and Greens would have to secure votes from the Left Party and AfD probably by making concessions in other areas. [4] [5]
At the same time calls for further rearmament are being made again. Back in 2014 the NATO agreed at the summit in Wales to spend 2% of GDP on defense although this is not legally binding. [6] [7] And the US government is now demanding 5% of GDP on defense from the other NATO member states. [8] [9] At the same time the US government is also proposing that the People's Republic of China and Russia halve their defense budgets together. Although the People's Republic of China has already rejected this offer the US government's intention is likely to remain the same. It is therefore reasonable to assume that the US will cut its defense budget and that the other NATO member states shall increase their defense budgets accordingly. In the end it could be that the other NATO member states will rearm for the US. [10] [11] [12]
Under the designated new Chancellor and loyal transatlanticist Friedrich Merz (CDU) a new special fund for the Bundeswehr worth 200 billion Euros is currently being discussed. [13] [14] [15] In addition the SPD and the Greens have already expressed their approval for such a project. The only question that remains is whether a new special fund will be passed with the old Bundestag or a change to the debt brake and concessions to the Left Party and AfD will be passed with the new Bundestag. And in any case it is significant that the already questionable debt brake is once again being called into question solely for rearmament. Investments in infrastructure or a revival of the economy which is in recession via demand policy are obviously not being considered. [16] [17] [18]
[Fake News] Underfunded - Was the Bundeswehr ruined by austerity measures?Src:
[1] 12-Seiten-Papier - Rente, Überstunden, Bürgergeld: Das steht in der Agenda 2030 der CDU 2025-01-09
https://www.focus.de/finanzen/news/agenda-2030-die-cdu-plaene-zu-rente-ueberstunden-buergergeld_72d9120e-884c-4861-a862-3ec411b8764d.html
[2] Papier zur Wirtschaftspolitik - CDU will mit "Agenda 2030" Wachstum ankurbeln 2025-01-09
https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/bundestagswahl/cdu-agenda-2030-100.html
[3] Bundestagswahl: CDU plant Steuerentlastungen mit Wirtschaftsprogramm "Agenda 2030" 2025-01-09
https://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2025-01/cdu-wirtschaftsprogramm-agenda-2030
[4] Bundestagswahl 2021: Endgültiges Ergebnis 2021-10-15
https://bundeswahlleiterin.de/info/presse/mitteilungen/bundestagswahl-2021/52_21_endgueltiges-ergebnis.html
[5] Vorläufiges Ergebnis der Bundestagswahl 2025 steht fest 2025-02-24
https://bundeswahlleiterin.de/info/presse/mitteilungen/bundestagswahl-2025/27_25_vorlaeufiges-ergebnis.html
[6] Verteidigungsausgaben - Zwei-Prozent-Ziel - wer hat's erfunden? 2019-04-03
https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/verteidigungsausgaben-103.html
[7] Wales Summit Declaration 2014 2014-09-05
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_112964.htm
[8] Trump fordert 5 Prozent – so hoch sind die Militärausgaben in der Schweiz und den Nato-Ländern 2025-03-12
https://www.tagesanzeiger.ch/nato-so-hoch-sind-die-militaerausgaben-der-mitglieder-und-der-schweiz-282951726974
[9] Trump call to up defense spending to 5% rattles NATO allies 2025-01-08
https://www.dw.com/en/trump-call-to-up-defense-spending-to-5-rattles-nato-allies/a-71249209
[10] Trump Floats Deal With Russia, China to Cut Defense Spending 2025-02-13
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-13/trump-floats-deal-with-russia-china-to-halve-defense-spending
[11] Trump Wants Denuclearization Talks with Russia and China, Hopes for Defense Spending Cuts 2025-02-14
https://www.military.com/daily-news/2025/02/14/trump-wants-denuclearization-talks-russia-and-china-hopes-defense-spending-cuts.html
[12] China Not Keen To Join Trump's 50% Defence Cut Proposal 2025-02-26
https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/china-not-keen-to-join-trump-s-50-defence-cut-proposal/ar-AA1zKQEF
[13] Deutsch-Amerikanische Konferenzen - Friedrich Merz und John Emerson im Gespräch 2019-06-14
https://www.atlantik-bruecke.org/in-conversation-with-true-atlanticists-friedrich-merz-and-ambassador-john-emerson/
[14] Scholz’s Politics are Lacking in Consideration for Europe as a Whole 2024-08-06
https://www.aspeninstitutece.org/article/2024/scholzs-politics-lacking-consideration-europe-whole/
[15] How might Germany’s coming election shape future support for Ukraine? 2024-12-24
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/how-might-germanys-coming-election-shape-future-support-for-ukraine/
[16] Merz will offenbar 200 Milliarden Euro für Aufrüstung 2025-02-25
https://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/bundeswehr-merz-will-offenbar-200-milliarden-euro-fuer-aufruestung-110319262.html
[17] 200-Milliarden-Rüstungsdeal am Bundestag vorbei – SPD „zu allem bereit“ 2025-02-25
https://www.berliner-zeitung.de/politik-gesellschaft/geopolitik/200-milliarden-ruestungsdeal-am-bundestag-vorbei-spd-zu-allem-bereit-li.2301907
[18] Wird jetzt noch schnell die Schuldenbremse reformiert? 2025-02-24
https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/reform-schuldenbremse-100.html
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