[Economics] Denmark - The Economic Assessment of the Migration 2024-08-05

Like many other European countries Denmark has recently experienced massive migration and the simultaneous rise of at least one right-wing party. But only Denmark has experienced a shrinking of the same right-wing spectrum on this scale. The Danish Social Democrats (Socialdemokraterne/S) we're scoring within a narrow range during this time.

2011: 24,8 % 2015: 26,3 % 2019: 25,9 % 2022: 27,6 %

The anti-immigration Danish People's Party (Dansk Folkeparti/DF) on the other hand experienced a steep rise over the same period. What is particularly special is its gradual decline after 2015.

2011: 12,3 % 2015: 21,1 % 2019: 8,7 % 2022: 2,6 %

The peak of asylum applications and admitted refugees was reached in 2015. At the same time 2015 marks the reversal from more accepted asylum applications then rejected to more rejected than accepted asylum applications. And 2016 marked the peak of rejected applications. [1]

In Denmark however the policies that led to this change are being commenced by the Social Democrats (Socialdemokraterne/S).

Even though Denmark did not join the Dublin III Agreement in 2013 most EU member states can be compared with Denmark. Crucial with this is that an asylum application must be submitted in the first EU member state that is entered. And assuming that the main routes run through the Mediterranean and the Balkans asylum applications would have to be made mainly in Spain, France, Italy, Slovenia, Croatia and Greece. Excepted from this are unaccompanied asylum seekers with relatives in a specific member state. And as long as asylum is the search for protection rather than a certain standard of living this should only apply to a small proportion. [2]

In addition to the grouping of the MENAPT countries (Middle East, North Africa, Pakistan and Turkey) or the people from these countries the nominal socio-economic assessment of migration was also considered. This is where the poor economic investments become visible. The employment rate of women from MENAPT countries was only 41.9 % in 2018. For women from other non-Western countries, the employment rate is 61.6 %. [3]

However the focus of the assessment is the contribution of people in their working lives. In 2018 the government reported that people from the MENAPT countries cost the Danish state 85,000 crowns (11,400 euros) per person. For people from other non-Western countries these costs amount to 4,000 crowns (540 euros) per person. Native Danes and people from other Western countries on the other hand are profitable for the Danish state. In plain language this means that migration from MENAPT countries and other non-Western countries is a loss for the Danish state. [4]

In a Danish government report the contribution to the Danish state was plotted against age. While native Danes are profitable for the state apart from schooling and pensions the situation is much different for the MENAPT countries. According to this report people from these countries only produce costs throughout their entire lives. [5, P.13]

Error
Net contribution of Danish citizens and MENAPT migrants

As an immediate measure it was decided in 2016 to take away valuable assets of asylum seekers in order to help finance their stay. This applies to jewelry and cash starting at a value of 10,000 crowns (1,300 euros). But certain personal items such as wedding rings are excluded from this. [6] [7] [8]

Src:
[1] Asylanträge ausländischer Flüchtlinge in Dänemark
https://www.laenderdaten.info/Europa/Daenemark/fluechtlinge.php
[2] Regulation (EU) No 604/2013
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/ALL/?uri=CELEX:32013R0604
[3] Denmark: New statistics category for migrants from Muslim countries 2020-12-11
https://migrant-integration.ec.europa.eu/news/denmark-new-statistics-category-migrants-muslim-countries_en
[4] Denmark says 'non-Western' immigrants cost state 31 billion kroner 2021-10-15
https://www.thelocal.dk/20211015/denmark-says-non-western-immigrants-cost-state-31-billion-kroner
[5] Økonomisk Analyse: Indvandreres netto-bidrag til de offentlige finanser i 2018
https://fm.dk/media/25228/indvandreres-nettobidrag-til-de-offentlige-finanser-i-2018.pdf
[6] "Dänisches Modell": Warum Deutschland den dänischen Migrationskurs nicht kopieren kann 2023-10-23
https://web.de/magazine/politik/daenisches-modell-deutschland-daenischen-migrationskurs-kopieren-38725680
[7] Europas strengste Asylpolitik - Wie Dänemark seine Flüchtlingszahlen gesenkt hat 2023-09-23
https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Wie-Daenemark-seine-Fluechtlingszahlen-gesenkt-hat-article24417434.html
[8] Umstrittenes Gesetz - Dänische Polizei nimmt Asylbewerbern Geld ab 2016-06-30
https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/daenemark-polizei-nimmt-asylbewerbern-geld-ab-a-1100622.html

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